COLD KILLS GOALS – THE STATS:

 UEFA Europa League matches played 21 Feb 2013:

 16 matches.

  • 31 goals in all – averaging 1.94 goals per game(These were cup games with many teams chasing the game in order to qualify).
  • 3 matches ended over 2.5 goals – none of these matches were played in sub zero temps. 
  • 13 matches ended under 2.5 goals.   2 with big positive temps;  5 with minor positive temps;  6 with sub zero temps.
  • No match with zero or sub zero temps (6) ended with over 2.5 goals, averaging 1.50 goals per game.
  • Bottom Line:  Cold or sub zero temps do not guarantee below 2.5 goals in any one match, but over a spread of matches the colder temperatures do help reduce the expected goal tallies and when the sub zero matches are clumped together (the 6) the goal tallies tend to shrink further.   Cold kills goals, FACT.

 http://www.britishweatherservices.co.uk/weather-services/sports-weather-weather-service/

 
AIR TEMP UEFA Europa League – Round of 32            GOAL TALLY
       
11-12 deg C Benfica 2-1 B Leverkusen

(agg 3-1)

Over 2.5 goals  
2-4 deg C Bordeaux 1-0 Dynamo Kiev

(agg 2-1)

Under 2.5 goals  
1 deg C Chelsea 1-1 Sparta Prague

(agg 2-1)

Under 2.5 goals  
10-11 deg C Fenerbahce 1-0 BATE Borisov

(agg 1-0)

Under 2.5 goals  
Minus 2 deg C Hannover 96 1-1 Anzhi Makhachkala

(agg 2-4)

Under 2.5 goals  
1-2 deg C Liverpool 3-1 Zenit St P’sbg

(agg 3-3)

Zenit St Petersburg win on away goals rule

Over 2.5 goals  
13 deg C Olympiakos 0-1 Levante

(agg 0-4)

Under 2.5 goals  
Minus 5 deg C Plzen 2-0 Napoli

(agg 5-0)

Under 2.5 goals  
3-4 deg C Steaua Buch’t 2-0 Ajax

(agg 2-2)

Steaua Bucuresti win 4-2 on penalties

Under 2.5 goals  
2-3 deg C CFR Cluj-Napoca 0-3 Inter Milan

(agg 0-5)

Over 2.5 goals  
Plus 1 to Minus 1 deg C Dnipro 1-1 FC Basel

(agg 1-3)

Under 2.5 goals  
Minus 1 to Minus 3 deg C Met’st Kharkiv 0-1 Newcastle

(agg 0-1)

Under 2.5 goals  
Minus 1 deg C Genk 0-2 VfB Stuttgart

(agg 1-3)

Under 2.5 goals  
11-12 deg C Lazio 2-0 Borussia M’gladbach

(agg 5-3)

Under 2.5 goals  
Minus 1 deg C Lyon 1-1 Tottenham

(agg 2-3)

Under 2.5 goals  
Minus 13 deg C Rubin Kazan 0-1 Atl Madrid

(agg 2-1)

Under 2.5 goals